Spring 2004 Survey: Politics and Current Issues
General Purpose | Major Findings | Interview Schedule

General Introduction
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Major Findings

Political Participation
There was reason to believe that we would find a low level of political participation among Holy Cross students. Voter turnout has declined in recent years; in the last Presidential election, barely a majority of the American population voted; and young people are less likely to vote than other age groups. Table 6.1 summarizes the results of a series of questions on various forms of political participation. Perhaps the most fundamental form of participation is voting. None of the Holy Cross students we interviewed was ineligible to vote at the time of the interview; yet 29 percent had not registered to vote. When those not registered were asked if they planned to register so that they could vote in the November election, only 14 students, 7 percent of the sample, answered "no." Among those already registered, two-thirds had voted at least once in a local, state, or national election, which means that less than half of the sample had exercised their right to vote. Finally, only about one-quarter of the respondents reported that they had voted more than once in a civic election.

Table 6.1. Percentage of Holy Cross students who engaged in various forms of political participation.

Form of Political Participation
Percent
Registered to vote in a civic election
70.8
Voted at least once in a civic election
46.7
Voted more than once in a civic election
23.6
Discussed politics with others 2-3 times a month or more
89.2
Contacted a public official about some need or problem
53.3
Tried to influence others to vote for one of the parties or candidates in an election
43.6
Worn a campaign button or displayed campaign sticker in an election
36.9
Worked for one of the parties or candidates in an election
19.5

As Table 6.1 further shows, the vast majority of Holy Cross students had discussed politics with others on occasion, and a third or more students had contacted a public official about a problem, tried to influence others to vote for a particular candidate, and worn a campaign button or displayed a campaign sticker during an election. In addition, one in five had worked for one of the parties or candidates in an election.

These data indicate that Holy Cross students' reported level of political participation generally is high compared with the American electorate. In National Election Studies over the past four decades, for example, about 30 percent of U.S. citizens report that they tried to persuade others during a Presidential campaign, roughly 10 percent say that they had worn a campaign button or put a campaign sticker on their car; and fewer than 5 percent claim that they had worked on a campaign. Only with respect to voting are Holy Cross students less active politically; however, many students only recently became eligible to vote in a civic election, and very few have had the opportunity to vote in a Presidential election.

Political Knowledge and Interest in Politics
Two questions gauged students' knowledge of politics. Who is the governor of your state of residence? Who is the Congressman from your district back home? When these questions were asked in one 1989 national survey, 73 percent of the respondents could name their governor and 29 percent could name their U.S. representative. In the spring HCSS, 67 percent of the students knew their governor and 22 percent knew their representative. Three-fifths of the respondents were from three states-Massachusetts, New York, and Connecticut. Residents of Massachusetts were less likely to know their governor (69%; Mitt Romney) than those from New York (80%; George Pataki) and Connecticut (95%; John Rowland).

We used three NES questions to ask about students' interest in politics: How interested have you been in following the political campaigns this year? Do you care which Party wins the Presidential election this fall? How much do you follow what's going on in government and public affairs? Table 6.2 compares the spring 2004 HCSS with NES surveys in 2000 or 2002. The data show comparable levels of interest in Holy Cross students and the American electorate in general.

Table 6.2. Percentage of HCSS sample and NES samples who reported that they were "very much" interested in following the current political campaigns, "cared a good deal" which party wins the November Presidential election, and follow what's going on in government and public affairs "most of the time."1

HCSS
NES '00
NES '02
Very much interested in following the current political campaigns
24
-
27
Care a good deal about which party wins the Presidential election
74
76
-
Follow what's going on in government most of the time
36
-
27

1 For exact question wording, see the spring 2004 HCSS Questionnaire.

Historically, men have been more engaged in politics than women. Consistent with this pattern, Holy Cross men were more knowledgeable about and more interested in politics according to all the above indicators; however, only one difference-naming the U.S. representative-was statistically significant. Illustrating the relation between action, cognition, and attitudes, registered voters in the HCSS were significantly more likely to know their state governor and representative and to be interested in politics and public affairs than respondents who were not registered.

Political Ideology and Party Preference
When asked to place themselves on a seven-point scale of political views ranging from "extremely liberal" to "extremely conservative," 45 percent of the Holy Cross sample identified themselves as liberal, 25 percent as "middle-of-the-road," and 29 percent as conservative. By comparison, the 2004 GSS showed that more Americans nowadays identify themselves as conservative (38%) than liberal (25%).

Students' political views also were tapped by asking them to use a "feeling thermometer" to express their feelings toward particular groups. Ratings on the thermometer may vary from 0 to 100 degrees; ratings between 50 and 100 degrees mean that respondents "feel favorably or warm toward the group," whereas ratings between 0 and 50 degrees mean that they "do not feel favorably toward or care much about the group." Table 6.3 shows the average ratings for several groups broken down by respondent's political ideology-liberal, middle-of-the-road, and conservative. Political ideology was associated with all group ratings, most strongly with Democrats, Republicans, liberals, and conservatives. Overall, students expressed relatively strong positive feelings toward the military, the police, and environmentalists; they expressed negative feelings only toward Christian fundamentalists, although many students refused to rate this group because they said they didn't know anything about them.

Table 6.3. Feeling thermometer ratings for different groups by political ideology.

Feelings toward . . . .
Liberal
Middle-of-the road
Conservative
Whole Sample
Democrats
73.7
61.2
47.6
62.9
Republicans
38.8
52.2
68.6
50.9
Liberals
71.2
52.9
38.7
57.0
Conservatives
40.0
51.1
64.3
50.0
Military
62.1
67.9
77.2
68.1
The police
64.3
69.3
71.7
67.7
Feminists
63.1
55.7
41.4
54.8
Environmentalists
70.5
60.6
53.8
63.1
Christian fundamentalists
33.4
43.6
43.6
38.9
N
(88)
(48)
(57)
(193)

To measure political party identification, we first asked if respondents thought of themselves as Republican, Democrat, Independent, or something else. Then, as in the NES, we asked those who identified themselves as Independents whether they leaned toward the Republican or Democratic Party. In response to the initial question, 28 percent of the HCSS sample claimed they were Republicans, 37 percent claimed they were Democrats, and 29 percent Independents. Among the Independents, 26 percent thought of themselves as closer to the Republican Party and 59 percent as closer to the Democratic Party. These "independent partisans," research has shown, consistently vote for the nominee of their party and, therefore, have been labeled "covert" Republicans and Democrats. When we add the independent partisans to get a more accurate reading of party "preference," 58 percent of HCSS respondents support the Democratic Party, 36 percent support the Republican Party, and 5 percent are Independents.

One of the most important influences on political partisanship is a person's family of origin. We asked students to tell us, when they were growing up, whether their father identified himself mostly as a Democrat or a Republican and whether their mother identified herself mostly as a Democrat or a Republican. Fathers were more likely to be perceived as Republicans, whereas mothers were more likely to be perceived as Democrats. Almost three-quarters (72%) of the parents were reported as having the same party (or nonparty) preference; in 17 percent of the families, one parent, usually a mother, was a Democrat and the other was a Republican. Considering students who identified themselves as Democrats or Republicans or partisan Independents, 63 percent had the same party preference as their father and 64 percent had the same preference as their mother. When both parents were Republicans, 72 percent of the time respondents identified themselves as Republicans; when both parents were Democrats, 94 percent of the time respondents identified themselves as Democrats. So, there was considerable agreement between a student's political party preference and that of his or her parents.

Support for Government and Approval of the President
For the second time in the HCSS, we asked students how often they thought they could trust the government in Washington to do what is right and how satisfied they were with the direction the country is going at this time. A 2002 NES survey found that 56 percent of a national sample thought one could trust the federal government to do what is right "most of the time" or "just about always." The first time this question was posed in the HCSS, in spring 2003, 58 percent of the sample expressed the same moderately high level of trust; a year later, in spring 2004, a nearly identical 57 percent responded in the same way. Similarly, in both HCSS surveys, almost exactly the same percentage of respondents, 58 and 57, were "somewhat" or "very satisfied" with the direction that the country was going. An only slightly lower 54 percent of the spring 2004 HCSS respondents also said that they approved of the way President George W. Bush was handling his job as President. Responses to these three questions in the current survey were moderately to strongly correlated with one another, suggesting that they are measuring the same underlying attitude toward the current administration. Despite their Democratic and liberal leanings, Holy Cross students tend to have a favorable attitude.

Interest and Voting Intentions in the 2004 Presidential Election
Respondents were about equally divided in their attention to the November election: 48 percent reported that they had given "quite a lot" of thought to the upcoming Presidential election and 45 percent said that they had given "only a little" thought to it. The vast majority-88 percent-predicted that the election would be close. If the election were held at Holy Cross in April 2004, however, there would have been a clear winner. When asked who they would be more likely to vote for, assuming that John Kerry and George W. Bush were their Party's candidates, 57 percent of the respondents chose Kerry and 39 percent chose Bush. This difference narrowed to a 56/41 split when we considered only students registered to vote or planning to register so they could vote in the November election. Kerry and Bush supporters were equally likely to think that the presidential race would be close, but Kerry supporters, perhaps because of the salience of the primaries, were more likely to report that they had given "quite a lot" of thought to the election. Also, as expected, Democrats overwhelmingly (93%) supported Kerry and Republicans overwhelmingly (94%) supported Bush; among the seven nonpartisan Independents, four supported Kerry and three supported Bush.

Involvement in Student Government
Another form of political participation is involvement in student government. Following the questions on local and national politics, we asked five questions about varying degrees of participation in campus politics. Table 6.4 presents the percentage of students who answered "yes" to these questions.

Table 6.4. Percentage of students who reported different forms of participation in student government.

Form of Participation in Student Government
Percentage
Voted in a student election at Holy Cross
75
Attended a SGA General Assembly Meeting
33
Ran for office, such as House Council, class officer, or SGA Senator
16
Served on the House Council in a residence hall
11
Served in the SGA as an elected or appointed representative
14

While three-quarters of the respondents had voted in a student election, only a third had ever attended a General Assembly Meeting of the Student Government Association, and fewer than one in six had run for office or served in a position of governance leadership. Participation is partly a matter of opportunity; student elections are held twice a year and the SGA General Assembly Meetings are held about once a month. First-year students, having had fewer chances to participate in student government, were significantly less likely than others to have voted in a student election and to have attended a SGA General Assembly Meeting. However, only attendance at SGA Meetings showed a clear linear trend, with 14 percent of first-year students, 28 percent of second-year students, 38 percent of third-year students, and 50 percent of fourth-year students having attended a meeting.

Is involvement in student government associated with broader political engagement? To see, we created two indices: an index of political participation consisting of the sum of the indicators in Table 6.1 and an index comprised of the sum of the "yes" responses to the five items in Table 6.4. There was indeed a significant positive correlation between these measures: as student involvement in campus politics increased, so did their political participation beyond the campus. This correlation decreased somewhat when controlling for academic class, but was still significant. In addition to political participation, involvement in campus politics was related to attention to political campaigns and interest in government and public affairs.

Opinions on Current Issues
Another facet of politics is public opinion on public policy issues. We limited HCSS questions to the War in Iraq, the economy, and a few of the more prominent and controversial social issues of the day. Before we asked for students' opinions on specific issues, however, we asked a general question that has been posed repeatedly in national surveys: What do you think is the most important problem facing this country today? When this question was asked around the same time as the spring HCSS, April 5-8, in a Gallup poll of 1,014 adults, four problems accounted for almost 80 percent of the responses: War in Iraq (26%), economy in general (22%), unemployment/jobs (17%), and terrorism (13%).


Figure 6.1. Problems identified by 2 percent or more respondents as "the most important problem facing the country today."

Figure 6.1 shows the problems identified by 2 percent or more of the spring HCSS sample. Holy Cross students specified the same top two problems as in the Gallup poll and also ranked terrorism highly; otherwise their responses appear to be more diverse and represent a slightly different set of priorities. Unemployment was not mentioned nearly as often in the HCSS as in the Gallup poll, although some students may have had this in mind when they answered "the economy." Perhaps due to differences in coding, neither foreign policy nor economic inequality emerged as a problem in the Gallup poll, but were mentioned in the HCSS.

In the HCSS, Republicans were more likely to identify terrorism as the most important problem facing the country today and Democrats were more likely to identify foreign policy or foreign affairs; otherwise, their choices were similar. Also, women were more than twice as likely as men to say that the War in Iraq was the main problem.

At the beginning of the war, about 7 in 10 Americans thought that the U.S. had made the right decision in using military force against Iraq. But by the time of survey, with almost daily reports of bombings and American military casualties in Iraq, support for the War had declined markedly. A Gallup poll in early April found that 50 percent of Americans thought it "was worth going to war in Iraq" and 47 percent that it was "not worth it"; in another contemporaneous nationwide poll, 43 percent thought it was worth it and 51 percent thought it was not worth it. In a December 2003 CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll, 56 percent of Americans said the war with Iraq had made the U.S. safer from terrorism; six months later, 55 percent said that it had made the U.S. less safe. On the other hand, an ABC News/Washington Post poll in mid-April indicated that 57 percent of Americans believed that the war with Iraq had contributed to the long-term security of the U.S.

Holy Cross students expressed somewhat similar sentiments. Like the majority of Americans at the time of survey, 54 percent thought the war had contributed to the long-term security of the U.S. Similarly, 56 percent said that the U.S. had done the right thing in taking military action against Iraq. Still, 63 percent believed that "going to war with Iraq has not made Americans safer from terrorism." Also like the American public, a clear split in these opinions occurred along party lines, with Republicans expressing much stronger support for the war than Democrats. For example, 90 percent of Republicans versus 35 percent of Democrats believed that invading Iraq was the right thing to do; 81 percent of Republicans versus 40 percent of Democrats believed the war had contributed to U.S. long-term security.

With respect to the economy, Holy Cross students' views were slightly more positive and more optimistic than the general public. When asked how they would rate economic conditions in the country today, 42 percent of the HCSS sample said "excellent" or "good," 47 percent said "only fair," and 10 percent said "poor"; by comparison, 34 percent of Americans in an April 5-8 Gallup poll said excellent or good, 44 percent only fair, and 22 percent said poor. When asked whether they thought "economic conditions in the country as a whole are getting worse or getting better," 54 percent of Holy Cross students said better, 35 percent said worse, and 10 percent said neither. In the same Gallup poll by comparison, 47 percent of Americans said better and 45 percent worse. As with the war in Iraq, Republicans and Democrats differed on both of the questions, with Republicans far more likely than Democrats to rate economic conditions favorably.

Finally, we tapped opinions on three social issues of the day: abortion, gay marriage, and capital punishment. The single question on abortion that was included in the survey addressed specific attitudes about its legality. Respondents were handed a card and asked to choose one of four "opinions." Table 6.5 shows the percentages of students selecting each option. A small minority (10%) opposed legalized abortion under any circumstances, and a little more than a third favored abortion as a matter of personal choice; but like the American public, the majority favored restrictive laws. In an October 2003 Gallup poll, by comparison, 54 percent of the public said that abortion should be legal "only in a few" or "under most circumstances."

Holy Cross students and the American public diverge on the issues of gay marriage and capital punishment. Recent polls show the American public about equally divided on whether homosexual couples should be allowed "to legally form civil unions," but a clear majority opposed to legalizing gay marriage and a scant majority who support a Constitutional amendment that would "define marriage as being between a man and a woman" (see The Gallup Tuesday Briefing, May 2004, pp. 21-23). By contrast, 86 percent of students in the spring HCSS said that homosexual couples should be allowed to legally form civil unions; 72 percent supported gay marriage, and only 8 percent supported "amending the Constitution to make it illegal for homosexual couples to get married anywhere in the U.S." In large part, Holy Cross students' position on gay marriage may be a product of two factors: age and education. Nationally, younger people and the more educated most strongly support gay marriage.

Table 6.5. Percentage of students selecting each of four legal positions on abortion.

Opinions on the Legality of Abortion
Percent

1. By law, abortion should never be permitted
10
2. The law should permit abortion only in case of rape, incest, or when the woman's life is in danger
33
3. The law should permit abortion for reasons other than raped, incest, or danger to the woman's life, but only after the need for abortion has been clearly established
21
4. By law, a woman should always be able to obtain an abortion as a matter of personal choice
35
No answer or no opinion
1

Despite mounting opposition to capital punishment in recent years, the American public has continued its strong, long-term support for the death penalty. The question we asked in the HCSS-"Do you favor or oppose the death penalty for persons convicted of murder?"-was drawn from the General Social Survey. Throughout the 1980s and 1990s, three-quarters of GSS respondents answered affirmatively. Spring 2004 was the second time we included this item in the HCSS. Both times, the majority of students were opposed to the death penalty: 54 percent in spring 2002 and 55 percent in spring 2004. Interestingly, 19 percent of the respondents in 2002 and 5 percent of those in 2004 answered "don't know" or refused to answer the question. Unlike gay marriage, neither age nor education is a strong predictor of support for capital punishment. On this issue, it is possible that students are influenced by Church teachings.

On all three social issues, Democrats versus Republicans and liberals versus conservatives in the HCSS were sharply divided. Democrats and liberals were far more likely than Republicans and conservatives to oppose capital punishment and to believe that abortion should be a matter of individual choice and gay marriage should be legal. Further, academic class standing appeared to have a liberalizing effect, with fourth-year students most "liberal" and first-year students least "liberal" on all three issues. Whether this is due to the influence of aging among 18-22 year-olds or to something unique about the college experience, we cannot say.

 

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